Exiting Schering Plough, Looking at Going Global
In line with yesterday’s post on some pending changes to the Secular Trends Model Portfolio, I am blowing out the remaining 1850 shares of Schering-Plough in the model. SGP has really just been a floater since the announcement of Merck’s buyout in early March, which initially valued Schering shares at $23.60 in cash and stock.
Since [...]
U.S. Stock Markets Strike Fresh Lows; Cooler Heads Stand Up?
All the major indexes sit at fresh multi-year lows Wednesday, as the crosscurrents of a seemingly endless wave of negative news has uncertainty levels (as measured by the VIX) one push away from new all-time highs.
The Secular Trends Portfolio has given back all the alpha that seemed so well-earned just two weeks ago on Election [...]
A Hungry Blind Man at the Buffet
These are the days that make investors - and economists - and analysts - try to pull their hair out. I suppose some succeed. It’s not that we can’t handle down days; our skin is impervious to them now. But a day like today is rife with contradiction, uncertainty, changing rules, and low rates of [...]
Mid-Day Update - Earnings & Cherry Picking Define the Day
With major indexes essentially flat at mid-day, there doesn’t seem to be any concerted buying of safety names, as evidenced by this screen I ran:
S&P 500 Stocks with forward P/E under 10, Current Ratio over 1.0 trading down today:
105/303 (34%)
S&P 500 stocks with same metrics that are trading up today:
115/294 (39%)
So we’re seeing a [...]
Adding to Schering-Plough, Freeport McMoRan (FCX, SGP)
I simply cannot ignore these prices. Copper will hopefully be the base metal that leads on forming a bottom, and Schering is just too defensive in its operating segments to be pushed down to these levels.
Adding 1500 share SGP at $13.06
Adding 750 shares FCX at $36.79
Run into the crowd when everyone else is fleeing.
EpiphanyOne
Adding Schering-Plough to Portfolio (SGP)
Details to come after the close; I want to time-stamp a purchase of 1650 shares SGP at $14.95; Schering is a fantastic company, globally diversified and with a nice animal health business.
It’s always darkest right before dawn…Or at least that’s what they say - I honestly don’t know if that’s scientifically true.
EpiphanyOne




