Epiphany Investing

Searching Out the Optimal Portfolio of “Revelation” Stocks

Vale SA May Bid For Mosaic - Let the Great Potash War Begin (MOS, POT, VALE)

Bloomberg reports today that a Brazilian newspaper has hinted at a pending $25b bid by mining giant Vale S.A. (VALE) for The Mosaic Company (MOS), the world’s largest phoshate producer and #2 potash producer. This follows up on earlier reports that Australian miner BHP Billiton was interested in snapping up North American potash assets. Mosaic [...]

Potash Corp. to Cut Production 20 Percent; Will Pricing Be Preserved? (POT)

Potash Corp. came out late yesterday and joined the likes of Mosaic (MOS) and Uralkali in cutting production of its chief product, as they will reduce 2009 potash output by roughly 20%, beginning in January.
CEO Bill Doyle sees demand as only temporarily weak, noting a slowdown in the availability of credit and a general “wait [...]

Mosaic Pre-Announces Results Through 11/30; Further Production Cuts Coming (MOS, POT)

Mosaic Company (MOS) took the opportunity to dump the kitchen sink on an already dreary day. After seeing shares fall 16% in Monday’s trading session, the phosphate and potash producer pre-announced volumes for its Fiscal Q209, ending November 30th.
Noting the “unprecedented global economic and credit downturn”, Mosaic reported phosphate volumes of just 1.3 million tonnes, [...]

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MOS : A defensive stock
Mosaic (MOS) Warns, Stock Up
Read more on Mosaic Company, Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan at Wikinvest

Potash Pricing Quietly Holding Up, But Commentary Has Vanished (POT)

Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT) has seen a lot of its commentary drop along with its stock price. One need look no further than the sparse listings for Potash Corp. within the Seeking Alpha pages to realize that bullish interest in the company has largely burst along with commodity prices.
Now that POT shares are down [...]

Secular Trends Analysis (BTU, FCX, POT, CAT, LVS)

I’m still working on the best format to submit my thoughts and current areas of study relating to the Secular Trends Model Portfolio. Several readers have asked some good questions relating to the investment strategy and current equity weightings. First and foremost, the model portfolio is 100% invested in equities not because I recommend that [...]

A Glance at Commodities

I stumbled across a nice set of commodity charts over at Bespoke Investment Group…these guys consistently put out enviously useful charts, and this post includes 1 year charts for oil, natural gas, gold, silver, platinum, and a bunch of soft commodities like Corn and Wheat. The shaded “blobs” show a range of 2 std deviations [...]

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The optimum growth portfolio for 2010
Read more on Commodities at Wikinvest

Broad Market Rally Ahead of Election Results, STPortfolio Adds More Alpha

What an impressive day for the U.S. markets. Not only were they up on broad-based buying, there wasn’t much volatility going into the close. Late-day shenanigans in the past month have signaled of an overabundance of redemptions from both the hedgies and mutual funds. But today was relatively smooth, albeit on lower volumes. You can [...]

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Market In Denial Phase Of Sentiment Cycle
ROSENBERG: THE MARKET LOOKS TOPPY
Read more on S&P 500 (SPX) at Wikinvest
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