Epiphany Investing

Searching Out the Optimal Portfolio of “Revelation” Stocks

Potash Corp (NYSE: POT) Slashes Q2 Earnings Est; Group Holding Up Surprisingly Well

Potash Corp of Saskatchewan Inc (NYSE: POT) issued a major cut to 2nd quarter earnings estimates yesterday, now calling for just $.70/share from earlier guidance of $1.10-$1.50.  While this is certainly disappointing for investors in the entire space, shares of Potash Corp. are impressively holding their own today, currently down just 2% after falling nearly [...]

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Profit From the Fertilizer Wars: POT, AGU, CF
Potash Is on the Move
Read more on Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan at Wikinvest

Philly Fed News and Musings on Market Timing

Well it seems that I didn’t need to be in any kind of rush to get into Micron. While the Philly Fed report was an improvement, it did not add to any existing market catalysts in a meaningful way. While the diffusion index was barely negative and the best result since Sept. ‘08, the index [...]

Potash Corp. to Cut Production 20 Percent; Will Pricing Be Preserved? (POT)

Potash Corp. came out late yesterday and joined the likes of Mosaic (MOS) and Uralkali in cutting production of its chief product, as they will reduce 2009 potash output by roughly 20%, beginning in January.
CEO Bill Doyle sees demand as only temporarily weak, noting a slowdown in the availability of credit and a general “wait [...]

Mosaic Pre-Announces Results Through 11/30; Further Production Cuts Coming (MOS, POT)

Mosaic Company (MOS) took the opportunity to dump the kitchen sink on an already dreary day. After seeing shares fall 16% in Monday’s trading session, the phosphate and potash producer pre-announced volumes for its Fiscal Q209, ending November 30th.
Noting the “unprecedented global economic and credit downturn”, Mosaic reported phosphate volumes of just 1.3 million tonnes, [...]

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MOS : A defensive stock
Mosaic (MOS) Warns, Stock Up
Read more on Mosaic Company, Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan at Wikinvest

Potash Pricing Quietly Holding Up, But Commentary Has Vanished (POT)

Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT) has seen a lot of its commentary drop along with its stock price. One need look no further than the sparse listings for Potash Corp. within the Seeking Alpha pages to realize that bullish interest in the company has largely burst along with commodity prices.
Now that POT shares are down [...]

A Note on Investment Strategy for the Secular Trends Portfolio

It has yet to be determined whether starting the Secular Trends Portfolio in September of 2008 was a unique blessing or a painful curse. From the outset I decided to create a long-only, all equity portfolio, and this is simply not environment for that. Volatility reigns the day for “economically sensitive” stocks, and apparently every [...]

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BEWARE THE DOUBLE TOP
Market In Denial Phase Of Sentiment Cycle
EARNINGS CONFUSION
Read more on S&P 500 (SPX) at Wikinvest

Adding to position in Potash Corp - Supply Constraints Remain (POT)

I know we are all getting a bit shaky at the volatility that has become commonplace in the markets. I am surprised to see Potash Corp. dip to new 52-week lows today - shares were down about 20% at one point as Basic Materials and commodity stocks continue to see a mass exodus of investor [...]

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