Secular Trends Portfolio Update - July 15th - Strong Outperformance Continues
As I’ve contended from the beginning of the Secular Trends Model, this has probably been the most challenging time in history to invest based on long term trends. Hardly a day goes by that I don’t hear a new media outlet ask the question (or state outright) that “buy and hold investing is dead”.
Well, 9 [...]
Corning Drops 2009 Guidance; How Low Can This Go? (GLW)
When glass guru Corning (GLW) reported earnings on October 29th, I noted my trepidation on the lowered sales outlook and the overall health of the global consumer. I also took a hard look at the balance sheet, and noted that:
Pick your metric…A P/E of about 4x current earnings, $19B in assets with a miniscule amount [...]
Inside the Numbers Redux; Why We (Likely) Still Haven’t Bottomed
On October 23rd I put together some stats that I just couldn’t reconcile in a post titled “Inside the Numbers - Why We Haven’t Bottomed Yet“. I was running screens to analyze the relative performance of what I saw as the safest companies, specifically filtering the S&P 500 members for the following:
Earnings Stability - Forward [...]
The Name’s “Fundamentals” - Nice to Meet You
I was running some screens at finviz.com, and it appears that investors are starting to peek at stock fundamentals again:
As of 11:45 EST, 240 of the S&P 500 were in positive territory. Of those 240, 122 (50.8%) had forward P/E ratios under 10x.
Of the 258 stocks that were down, only 95 (36%) had sub-10 forward [...]
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Investopedia Commentary- Where Third Avenue Sees Value (BAM, GGP, SPG, ESV, NBR)
- America's Biggest Companies Look Reasonably Priced (XOM, MSFT, QQQQ, AIG, BAC)
- Sandridge Energy Shifts Towards Oil (SD, OXY)
- Stong Dividends Worth A Look (AINV, STD, FNF, NYB, PBCT, NLY, CIM, EQR, HRP, MFA)
- The Bear Market Bottom - One Year Later (SMRT, FITB, DNDN, LVS)
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Pragmatic commentary on U.S. & global investing, demographics & secular trends, and the valuation of anything worth valuing. Objective, unbiased research; We believe in minimal design, zero gimmicks, and maximum results.
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Secular Trends Holdings
- Secular Trends Portfolio Real-Time Positions
- The Fuel That Fed the Subprime Meltdown (Written in September 2007)
- Performance Studies on the DJIA & Fundamental Value Stocks (11/22/08)
- Las Vegas Sands - Are They Sustainable in 2009? (Published 11/15/08)
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