Epiphany Investing

Searching Out the Optimal Portfolio of “Revelation” Stocks

Secular Trends Analysis (BTU, FCX, POT, CAT, LVS)

I’m still working on the best format to submit my thoughts and current areas of study relating to the Secular Trends Model Portfolio. Several readers have asked some good questions relating to the investment strategy and current equity weightings. First and foremost, the model portfolio is 100% invested in equities not because I recommend that [...]

China Flush With Coal, Possible Pricing Weakness for Peabody (BTU)

News out of China today is that quotas for coal exports were higher than expected at 15.9 million tonnes, putting the export quota total for the year above 47 million tonnes. While Chinese officials say that it’s too late in the year to put the quotas into effect, the news does reflect that China isn’t [...]

Oil, Commodities Continue To Weaken - An Inflection Point?

Looking through my recent posts, I don’t seem to have mentioned crude oil prices very much. I can’t see why as I’m studying it constantly throughout the day, more so now than ever. I’ll reiterate my earlier standing apology for any gaps in the information I provide; I will, however, use the ultimate excuse that [...]

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Troubles Brewing in Africa's Largest Oil Producer (When Giants Fall, 3/10/10)
Update on Oil — Global Demand Estimate Raised AGAIN! (Red Hot Energy and Gold - Global..., 3/12/10)
Funniest Video You’ll See Today: “The Front Fell Off” (Red Hot Energy and Gold - Global..., 3/10/10)
Read more on Oil, Commodities at Wikinvest

Peabody Earnings Reflect Relative Strength in Coal (BTU)

Peabody crushed expectations today by reporting EPS of $1.36 vs estimates of $.87, and revenues of $1.91 billion vs. estimates of $1.71b
Top-line growth was a huge beat on a percentage basis, and reflective of higher volumes for Peabody - 66 million tons of production was up about 6% YoY. Average contract prices were up 114% [...]

Adding Petrobras to Secular Trends Portfolio

Echoing what I just had to say about Potash Corp, I had Petrobras (PBR) on my extremely short list of pickups earlier in the week. When the bottom dropped out of energy and commodities earlier in the week, several companies stood out as the beneficiaries of panic selling. Petrobras shed over $17 billion in market [...]