Epiphany Investing

Searching Out the Optimal Portfolio of “Revelation” Stocks

Goldman’s Reversal on Commodities in 2009 Caps a Bipolar Year; Caterpillar Cut to Sell (CAT)

Goldman has gone from from permabull (remember the $200 oil “super-spike” call from May?) to permabear in less than one year’s time. Earlier this year the call was for an average spot price for crude between $110-$120 through 2011; today the 2009 average spot was pegged at $45. In conjunction, Goldman is slashing estimates for [...]

More on this topic (What's this?)
The optimum growth portfolio for 2010 (Real Wealth - Global Wealth Report, 2/3/10)
Focus on Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) (Short-Term Trading, 3/14/10)
Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT): Q4 Earnings Preview 2009 (Stock Wizard, 1/21/10)
Read more on Caterpillar, Commodities, Goldman Sachs Group at Wikinvest

A Critical Day Approaches for Commodities; A Look at Wheat, Aluminum, Copper (AA, FCX, POT)

In addition to the disappointing close in the U.S. equity markets yesterday, there was also a renewed breakdown in the prices of many commodities. Due to their leverage as catalysts to Potash Corp (POT), Alcoa (AA), and Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), I’m focusing in on wheat, aluminum, and copper.
Wheat
After forming a solid bottom around the $500 [...]

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Why I Love Commodities (Asset Prime, 2/17/10)
Wheat Prices Continue To Drop: ETFs and ETNs (Shocked Investor, 11/2/09)
Grains/Oilseeds update – 14 Dec (Weather and Commodity Trading, 12/15/09)
Read more on Wheat at Wikinvest

Where Did the Sellers Go Today?

I was getting ready to put a title on this post that read “The Least Gratifying 10% Move Ever?”…but at the last minute, after reading all my notes, I looked past my cynicism. Not that there’s anything wrong with being cynical in this market - if I was a financial doctor, I would prescribe cynicism [...]

The China Conundrum

There’s no question that every major economy in the world is reeling; we’re about 2 crucial months behind on the data that will really highlight the extent of the damage caused by the last 45 days’ worth of crisis. All of the 3rd quarter earnings & GDP figures give us just a peek to the [...]

What I’m Reading this Weekend

Barron’s has a fantastically insightful interview with Jeremy Grantham of GMO. His ideas about the inherent strengths and weaknesses of corporate CEOs are both eloquent and simplistic.
I’m trying to get a feel for the long-term trends in base metals (aluminum, copper, nickel, etc) by using these great charts at infomine.com
Reading through some white paper information [...]

More on this topic (What's this?)
Aluminum Stocks: As Another Contango Begins, Here’s the Best Way to Play It (Investment U, 2/23/10)
Looks Like the Copper Correction Is Over (Red Hot Energy and Gold - Global..., 2/19/10)
Copper: Market Top? (The Technical Take, 2/3/10)
Read more on Nickel, Copper, Sunpower Corp at Wikinvest

Adding to Alcoa Position for Secular Trends Portfolio (AA)

In line with my knife-diving purchase of Potash Corp (POT) earlier today, I am doubling up on Alcoa Inc with another 2% buy (1000 shares). I ran a 10-year chart of Alcoa this moring, and with today’s 7% decline the stock is now at a decade low in terms of valuation and within 10% of [...]