Epiphany Investing

Searching Out the Optimal Portfolio of “Revelation” Stocks

Musings on Petrobras, Economic Recovery (PBR)

There’s little to do when one is wrong but admit, find a lesson, and move on. In that spirit, my decision to trim the majority of the Petrobras (PBR) position in the Secular Trends Portfolio was ill-timed, to say the least. I was concerned about several straight weeks of rising crude inventories, and I didn’t [...]

Trimming Petrobras, Caterpillar in Secular Trends Portfolio (PBR, CAT)

There hasn’t been a lot of activity here for a couple of weeks, the unfortunate result of other obligations and my ongoing intent to put in 5-6 hours of good reading and research time for every hour spent writing up my conclusions. But hey, if it’s not broke; The Secular Trends Portfolio continues it’s alpha [...]

If Q2 Earnings Continue This Trend, We Can Finally Get Back to Stock-Picking

As second quarter earnings roll on, an amazingly high percentage of companies are soundly beating estimates - over 70% thus far. To the eternal pessimists out there, it’s no real harbinger because estimates were set embarrassingly low. However we’re not just seeing minor beats, but an increasing number of major beats - beating estimates by [...]

Vale SA May Bid For Mosaic - Let the Great Potash War Begin (MOS, POT, VALE)

Bloomberg reports today that a Brazilian newspaper has hinted at a pending $25b bid by mining giant Vale S.A. (VALE) for The Mosaic Company (MOS), the world’s largest phoshate producer and #2 potash producer. This follows up on earlier reports that Australian miner BHP Billiton was interested in snapping up North American potash assets. Mosaic [...]

Welcome Back to the Land of the Viable, IMAX

Ever since I saw the first preview for the Transformers movie sequel months ago, I was running an over/under in my mind for how low the Metacritic score would be…50? No, that would be way too high.  This movie was pure drivel. I settled in on 40, figuring that the USA Today or TV Guide [...]

More on this topic (What's this?)
IMAX Corporation (IMAX) Profits Jump (Short-Term Trading, 3/11/10)
Bret Barakett's Tremblant Capital Group Files 13G On IMAX (market folly, 8/25/09)
Avatar Drives IMAX Stock (Top Gun Financial Planning, 1/11/10)
Read more on Imax at Wikinvest

Highlights From Warren Buffett Interview on CNBC

On the eve of a charity lunch tomorrow that someone will likely pay $2 million to attend, Warren Buffett did a short interview with Becky Quick over on CNBC (see video & summary here). As always, Buffett threw out some great soundbites and displayed his folksy wit (as folksy as guy worth over $40 billion [...]

More on this topic (What's this?)
Myths about Warren Buffett (Dividend Growth Investor, 7/8/09)
Seven dividend aristocrats that Buffett owns (Dividend Growth Investor, 2/24/10)
Warren Buffett & Berkshire Hathaway's Annual Letter (market folly, 3/1/10)
Read more on Warren Buffett at Wikinvest

Sell-Siders Flee Electronic Arts; A Great Time to Step In? (ERTS)

I should put it out there that I’m not a contrarian by nature. Sometimes I agree with what the ole’ herd has to say. It just so happens that lately, the sell-side community has been slicing the ball so severely that “zigging when they zag” seems the smartest move.
In many years of covering Electronic Arts [...]

keep looking »