Epiphany Investing

Searching Out the Optimal Portfolio of “Revelation” Stocks

Adding Noble Corp, Seabridge Gold to Secular Trends Portfolio (NE, SA)

I’ve been sitting on larger-than-desired cash position of 12.5%, and waiting out what I saw as the potential for a 4-5% pullback in the major indexes. That pullback just doesn’t seem to have gathered its critical mass, with all due nods to the anemic volumes we’re seeing of late. Meanwhile I’ve been pouring over sectors [...]

More on this topic (What's this?)
(NE) Noble Corporation Analyst Coverage Initiated at Neutral (Stock Blog Hub, 2/6/10)
(NE) Noble Corporation’s 3Q Profit Rises (Stock Blog Hub, 10/28/09)
Top Picks for 2010: Noble (NE) (Blogging Stocks, 12/25/09)
Read more on Seabridge Gold, Noble Corporation at Wikinvest

Monday Morning Coffee & Preview - Earnings Upside Continues (IBM, CAT, LVS)

The weak dollar trade is back on today, as the USD is down against most major currencies. This has pushed gold, copper, and other hard commodities up to or near their highest levels of the month. Days like this are generally good for the Secular Trends Portfolio, and in early morning trade the model has [...]

Vale SA May Bid For Mosaic - Let the Great Potash War Begin (MOS, POT, VALE)

Bloomberg reports today that a Brazilian newspaper has hinted at a pending $25b bid by mining giant Vale S.A. (VALE) for The Mosaic Company (MOS), the world’s largest phoshate producer and #2 potash producer. This follows up on earlier reports that Australian miner BHP Billiton was interested in snapping up North American potash assets. Mosaic [...]

The Not-Ready-For-Primetime Stock List

Several readers have asked me what particular stocks are on my radar these days.
The list is actually quite long, but unfortunately it’s chock full of companies that just don’t seem to grasp their own potential. But since I’m currently giving away my best ideas for free, I have no problem presenting a list of my [...]

Potash Corp (NYSE: POT) Slashes Q2 Earnings Est; Group Holding Up Surprisingly Well

Potash Corp of Saskatchewan Inc (NYSE: POT) issued a major cut to 2nd quarter earnings estimates yesterday, now calling for just $.70/share from earlier guidance of $1.10-$1.50.  While this is certainly disappointing for investors in the entire space, shares of Potash Corp. are impressively holding their own today, currently down just 2% after falling nearly [...]

More on this topic (What's this?)
Potash (POT) Raises Guidance (Fund my Mutual Fund, 3/12/10)
Potash (POT) Steamrolled (Fund my Mutual Fund, 7/10/09)
Potash Is on the Move (Contrarian Profits, 7/2/09)
Read more on Potash Corporation of Saskatchewan at Wikinvest

Exiting Schering Plough, Looking at Going Global

In line with yesterday’s post on some pending changes to the Secular Trends Model Portfolio, I am blowing out the remaining 1850 shares of Schering-Plough in the model. SGP has really just been a floater since the announcement of Merck’s buyout in early March, which initially valued Schering shares at $23.60 in cash and stock.
Since [...]

More on this topic (What's this?)
Merck Stokes M&A Fires with $41.1 Billion Bid for Schering-Plough (Money Morning, 3/9/09)
MRNA (All Allan, 2/23/10)
(MRK) Merck Earnings Estimates Revised Downward (Stock Blog Hub, 3/12/10)
Read more on Schering-Plough, Merck at Wikinvest

Philly Fed News and Musings on Market Timing

Well it seems that I didn’t need to be in any kind of rush to get into Micron. While the Philly Fed report was an improvement, it did not add to any existing market catalysts in a meaningful way. While the diffusion index was barely negative and the best result since Sept. ‘08, the index [...]

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